External Validation and Recalibration of the CURB-65 and PSI for Predicting 30-Day Mortality and Critical Care Intervention in Multiethnic Patients with COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: To validate and recalibrate the CURB-65 and pneumonia severity index (PSI) in predicting 30-day mortality and critical care intervention (CCI) in a multiethnic population with COVID-19, along with evaluating both models in predicting CCI. METHODS: Retrospective data was collected for 1181 patients admitted to the largest hospital in Qatar with COVID-19 pneumonia. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, and other metrics were bootstrapped to examine the performance of the models. Variables constituting the CURB-65 and PSI scores underwent further analysis using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) along with logistic regression to develop a model predicting CCI. Complex machine learning models were built for comparative analysis. RESULTS: The PSI performed better than CURB-65 in predicting 30-day mortality (AUC 0.83, 0.78 respectively), while CURB-65 outperformed PSI in predicting CCI (AUC 0.78, 0.70 respectively). The modified PSI/CURB-65 model (respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, hematocrit, age, sodium, and glucose) predicting CCI had excellent accuracy (AUC 0.823) and good calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Our study recalibrated, externally validated the PSI and CURB-65 for predicting 30-day mortality and CCI, and developed a model for predicting CCI. Our tool can potentially guide clinicians in Qatar to stratify patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Impact of Online Knowledge and Skills Learning on Millennial Learners Within Emergency Medicine: A Retrospective Data Review.

BACKGROUND: Emergency Medicine didactic teaching has traditionally been delivered through face-to-face (F2F) lectures. However, during the pandemic of COVID-19, the didactic teaching was switched to online through using Microsoft Teams. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of online learning in the knowledge and skills acquisition of millennial learners based within emergency medicine. METHODOLOGY: This was a retrospective review of assessment data. Over a period of 10 months (August 2019 to June 2020), each resident was exposed to traditional F2F teaching for a period of four months and then online teaching in a crossover manner. After each method, there were two types of assessments, multiple-choice questions (MCQs) and computer-based objective structured clinical examination (OSCE). A total of 20 MCQs with one correct answer, totaling 20 marks, and 20 OSCEs consisting of an image or a video with five options, each option carrying one mark, totaling 100 marks were used at each assessment point. A student t-test was used to compare the two groups of results. RESULTS: The total number of participants was 49 (n=49). All residents belonged to the millennial generation. Fourteen were female and 35 were male. The mean MCQ 1 score after F2F teaching was 12.16 (SD=1.688), whilst the mean MCQ 2 score after online teaching was 13.40 (SD=1.861). The mean computer-based OSCE 1 score after F2F teaching was 64.45 (SD=5.895), whilst the mean OSCE 2 score after online teaching was 65.57 (SD=5.969). Ten out of 49 students (20.4%) failed the MCQ exam after F2F teaching, whilst 6/49 students (12.2%) failed the MCQ test after online teaching. Seven out of 49 students (14.3%) failed the OSCE exam after F2F teaching, while six out of 49 students (12.2%) failed the OSCE exam after online teaching. There was a statistically significant improvement in the MCQ score after online teaching as compared to F2F teaching (P-value 0.0003), whilst there was no statistically significant change in the OSCE between the two-teaching methods (P-value 0.3513). CONCLUSION: Both F2F and online teaching methods resulted in a significant improvement in the knowledge and skills of emergency medicine residents. Online education resulted in a statistically significant improvement of MCQ score as compared to F2F teaching. The difference in MCQ score may be due to millennial learners, who traditionally benefit proportionately more from self-learning that is primarily online.

Q-DEPICT: Qatar Determining Emergency Physician Incidence of COVID-Positive Testing.

Despite protective measures such as personal protective equipment (PPE) and a COVID airway management program (CAMP), some emergency physicians will inevitably test positive for COVID. We aim to develop a model predicting weekly numbers of emergency physician COVID converters to aid operations planning. The data were obtained from the electronic medical record (EMR) used throughout the national healthcare system. Hamad Medical Corporation's internal emergency medicine workforce data were used as a source of information on emergency physician COVID conversion and numbers of emergency physicians completing CAMP training. The study period included the spring and summer months of 2020 and started on March 7 and ran for 21 whole weeks through July 31. Data were extracted from the system's EMR database into a spreadsheet (Excel, Microsoft, Redmond, USA). The statistical software used for all analyses and plots was Stata (version 16.1 MP, StataCorp, College Station, USA). All data definitions were made a priori. A total of 35 of 250 emergency physicians (14.0%, 95% CI 9.9%-19.9%) converted to a positive real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (PCR) during the study's 21-week period. Of these. only two were hospitalized for having respiratory-only disease, and none required respiratory support. Both were discharged within a week of admission. The weekly number of newly COVID-positive emergency physicians was zero and was seen in eight of 21 (38.1%) weeks. The peak weekly counts of six emergency physicians with new COVID-positive were seen in week 14. The mean weekly number of newly COVID-positive emergency physicians was 1.7 ± 1.9, and the median was 1 (IQR, 0 to 3). This study demonstrates that in the State of Qatar's Emergency Department (ED) system, knowing only four parameters allows the reliable prediction of the number of emergency physicians likely to convert COVID PCR tests within the next week. The results also suggest that attention to the details of minimizing endotracheal intubation (ETI) risk can eliminate the expected finding of the association between ETI numbers and emergency physician COVID numbers.

Randomized double-blinded placebo-controlled trial of hydroxychloroquine with or without azithromycin for virologic cure of non-severe Covid-19.

BACKGROUND: Hydroxychloroquine (HC) ± azithromycin (AZ) is widely used for Covid-19. The Qatar Prospective RCT of Expediting Coronavirus Tapering (Q-PROTECT) aimed to assess virologic cure rates of HC±AZ in cases of low-acuity Covid-19. METHODS: Q-PROTECT employed a prospective, placebo-controlled design with blinded randomization to three parallel arms: placebo, oral HC (600 mg daily for one week), or oral HC plus oral AZ (500 mg day one, 250 mg daily on days two through five). At enrollment, non-hospitalized participants had mild or no symptoms and were within a day of Covid-19 positivity by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). After six days, intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis of the primary endpoint of virologic cure was assessed using binomial exact 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and χ2 testing. (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04349592, trial status closed to new participants.). FINDINGS: The study enrolled 456 participants (152 in each of three groups: HC+AZ, HC, placebo) between 13 April and 1 August 2020. HC+AZ, HC, and placebo groups had 6 (3·9%), 7 (4·6%), and 9 (5·9%) participants go off study medications before completing the medication course (p = 0·716). Day six PCR results were available for all 152 HC+AZ participants, 149/152 (98·0%) HC participants, and 147/152 (96·7%) placebo participants. Day six ITT analysis found no difference (p = 0·821) in groups' proportions achieving virologic cure: HC+AZ 16/152 (10·5%), HC 19/149 (12·8%), placebo 18/147 (12·2%). Day 14 assessment also showed no association (p = 0·072) between study group and viral cure: HC+AZ 30/149 (20·1%,), HC 42/146 (28·8%), placebo 45/143 (31·5%). There were no serious adverse events. INTERPRETATION: HC±AZ does not facilitate virologic cure in patients with mild or asymptomatic Covid-19. FUNDING: The study was supported by internal institutional funds of the Hamad Medical Corporation (government health service of the State of Qatar).

Impact of COVID-19 upon changes in emergency room visits with chest pain of possible cardiac origin.

OBJECTIVES: A decrease in Emergency Department (ED) visits for cardiac conditions has recently been reported from the US and Western Europe due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The data are still scant, and the correlation between cardiac symptoms and confirmed diagnoses are not available. There are no reports on changes in ED volumes at a national level, or from countries in the Asia-Middle Eastern region. We report data from national referral centers for tertiary care and cardiac care centers in Qatar, which see > 80% of cardiac emergencies in the country. RESULTS: We analyzed 102,033 ED visits in the COVID-19-era (March-April 2020 and 2019) and determined the proportion presenting for cardiac symptoms and their confirmed diagnoses. We observed a 16-37% decline in ED volumes overall, with a 25-50% decline in patients presenting with cardiac symptoms in March and April 2020 compared with March and April 2019. Among those presenting with cardiac symptoms, we observed a 24-43% decline in cardiac diagnoses in March and April 2020 compared with March and April 2019.

Management of life-threatening acute respiratory syndrome and severe pneumonia secondary to COVID-19 in pregnancy: A case report and literature review.

Evidence-based treatment involving multidisciplinary decision making is warranted to treat COVID-19 in pregnancy. This case presents the management of a critically ill pregnant women infected with SARS-CoV-2.

Volume and Acuity of Emergency Department Visits Prior To and After COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: There are scant data regarding the change in volume and acuity of patients presenting to emergency departments (EDs) after Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), compared with the pre-COVID-19 era. OBJECTIVE: To determine ED volumes and triage acuity prior to and after COVID-19. METHODS: We determined the volume of patients presenting to four large EDs affiliated with general, cardiac, cancer, and obstetrics hospitals, and the acuity of presenting illness (using the Canadian Triage Acuity Scale [CTAS]) for March and April 2020 and compared them with the same months in 2019 and January 2020. Together, these facilities see over 80% of the ED visits in Qatar. The first COVID-19 patient in Qatar was diagnosed on February 29, 2020. RESULTS: A total of 192,157 ED visits were recorded during the study period. There was a 20-43% overall drop in number of ED visits, with significant variability across hospitals. The Heart Hospital experienced the sharpest decline (33-89%), and the National Center for Cancer Care and Research experienced the least decline in volumes. The decline was observed across all CTAS levels, with the largest decline observed in individuals presenting with CTAS 1 and 2 (26-69% decline month by month). No increase in overall number of deaths or crude mortality rate was observed in the COVID-19 era, according to national statistics. CONCLUSIONS: Sharp declines in ED visits and the triage acuity seen in both general and specialty hospitals raise the concern that severely ill patients may not be seeking timely care, and a surge may be expected once current restrictions on movement are lifted.